Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.122107 1.363472 1.671291 2.104375 2.718730 3.595140 5.016629
2025-03-23 0.823120 1.098311 1.505109 2.194764 3.447525 5.940759 12.595831
2025-03-30 0.655636 0.925758 1.364049 2.209124 4.069866 9.110610 34.323102
2025-04-06 0.542411 0.794432 1.229511 2.148383 4.497556 12.921920 111.606113
2025-04-13 0.466904 0.703258 1.131541 2.106024 4.948301 18.546377 858.596137
2025-04-20 0.433293 0.674593 1.138155 2.297091 6.348782 37.896713 NaN
2025-04-27 0.399267 0.637442 1.116205 2.408348 7.717023 81.226253 NaN
2025-05-04 0.363375 0.590051 1.060048 2.399299 8.625574 165.883768 NaN
2025-05-11 0.328599 0.539417 0.985411 2.302983 8.985250 308.235076 NaN
2025-05-18 0.307836 0.513385 0.961260 2.358259 10.500729 1653.147514 NaN
2025-05-25 0.293298 0.497691 0.957886 2.485549 13.075441 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.275168 0.472093 0.924897 2.491126 14.781921 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.254129 0.438510 0.867187 2.382947 15.138854 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.243904 0.426977 0.864685 2.502894 19.235224 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.231283 0.408741 0.840980 2.522656 22.370098 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.217181 0.385793 0.800658 2.449726 23.638984 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.205184 0.366454 0.767519 2.398721 25.455657 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.201840 0.366269 0.788410 2.629914 38.652518 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.196020 0.359739 0.789738 2.765309 53.984797 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.187457 0.345969 0.767099 2.754278 63.385248 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.177456 0.328022 0.729316 2.637075 63.710679 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.171885 0.320192 0.721783 2.704287 85.219678 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.168206 0.316563 0.726882 2.859586 138.812481 NaN NaN